{"status":"proxy_temporal_holdout","training_years":[2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021],"base_year":2021,"base_uses_unsmoothed_annual":true,"results":[{"year":2022,"mae_percentage_points":1.11,"persistence_mae_percentage_points":1.045,"evaluated_cells":3936,"better_than_persistence":false},{"year":2023,"mae_percentage_points":1.74,"persistence_mae_percentage_points":1.616,"evaluated_cells":3936,"better_than_persistence":false},{"year":2024,"mae_percentage_points":2.186,"persistence_mae_percentage_points":1.912,"evaluated_cells":3923,"better_than_persistence":false},{"year":2025,"mae_percentage_points":2.737,"persistence_mae_percentage_points":2.493,"evaluated_cells":3928,"better_than_persistence":false},{"year":2026,"mae_percentage_points":4.043,"persistence_mae_percentage_points":4.272,"evaluated_cells":3936,"better_than_persistence":true}],"warning":"Later satellite classifications are noisy proxy targets. Not independent validation or calibrated uncertainty."}